Amazon may often be the go-to scapegoat and blamed for retail industry woes of different kinds, but a study finds that the real culprit that has led to store closings, bankruptcies or liquidations at retailers from Sears and Toys “R” Us to Payless ShoeSource and RadioShack: private equity firms.
Nearly 600,000 jobs at U.S. retailers owned by private equity firms and hedge funds have been lost in the past decade, according to a study released this week by the Center for Popular Democracy and other groups. Add indirect job losses at retail suppliers like toymakers Mattel and Hasbro, that’s another 728,000 jobs lost.
“Wall Street’s gamble on retail has led to more than 1.3 million job losses in total,” the study says.
Since 2012, 10 out of the 14 largest retail bankruptcies, which also included The Sports Authority and A&P supermarket chain’s parent, were private equity-owned — which are twice as likely to go bankrupt as public companies, the study finds. Among retailers that filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2016 and 2017, two-thirds were backed by private-equity funds.
The stakes are high: As private equity firms and hedge funds have bought over 80 major retailers in the past 10 years, the chains they own employ more than 1 million of the 15.8 million U.S. retail workers nationwide, according to the study. About 70% of store closings so far this year also came from private-equity owned retailers, including J. Crew and Charlotte Russe, the study says.
Why? Private equity firms have often financed their retail pursuits through leveraged buyouts that end up saddling retailers with high debt and interest that retailers themselves are on the hook to pay. That leaves them with little breathing room to free capital for other uses.
For example, Toys “R” Us, despite generating steady sales — $11.1 billion in 2017 vs $11.2 billion in the year before its 2005 sale to a private equity group – saw 97% of its operating income going to pay debt interest by 2007, according to the study.
That “left (it) unable to upgrade technology or evolve its business model”to better compete with likes of Amazon, the study says.
Retailers are attractive targets for private equity firms and hedge funds partly because they often own some or all of their store property, where the real estate assets can help secure more debt, the study says.
Private equity firms will also sell some of these real estate assets and require retailers to lease back the same buildings they had owned, the study said. It pointed to the example of Sears having to pay rent on some stores it previously owned to a real estate investment trust created by Eddie Lampert, Sears chairman and founder of hedge fund ESL Investments, which engineered the 2005 merger of Sears and Kmart. (Lampert earlier this year won court approval to take Sears out of bankruptcy.)
Retailers over the past three years have commanded one of the highest default rates among various U.S. industries, according to a February report by rating agency Moody’s. The pressure is still on as a combined $12 billion in debt will mature through 2021. Weaker and smaller retailers that are saddled with leveraged debt that leave them “less financially-flexible” will feed default rates, according to Moody’s.
In another warning sign, among retail and apparel issuers with junk bond B3 and below rating, 26 of the 34 are leveraged buyout transactions, Moody’s says.
“A large number are vulnerable to liquidity deterioration and elevated default risk in a cyclical downturn,” Moody’s said.
Related on Forbes: Starbucks is taking a page from Amazon with this investment
Related on Forbes: Amazon Prime Day’s Big Takeaway
Related on Forbes: Amazon’s retail rivals are happy to work with it, as AWS clients