The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, the only big piece of legislation passed by President Donald Trump, was enacted last December, but tax year 2018 is when a lot of the provisions go into effect.
It’s been called the largest overhaul of the U.S. tax code since the Ronald Reagan era, and it didn’t just cut taxes. It also removed a lot of the perks homeowners and middle class taxpayers have relied on. So, as people start thinking about filing their taxes in April, certain individuals and sectors of the economy are going to take big hits.
The biggest change is the repeal of deductions for state and local taxes. Going forward, an individual can only claim up $10,000 for all state and local sales, income, and property taxes together. For example, a small house in New Jersey may pay just property taxes of $25,000. But with the $10,000 cap, taxpayers are going to be shelling out a lot more to the tax man.
While the home mortgage interest deduction didn’t disappear, it did take a hit. The deduction for a mortgage used to buy, build or improve your home taken out after December 15, 2017, will max out at $750,000. For mortgages taken out before December 15, 2017, the limit is $1 million.
This is already having an affect on the high-end real estate market, especially blue states that have high state income taxes, such as New York, California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey and Illinois.
“The fact they are no longer tax deductible is causing a lot of people to look at relocating their primary residence to states such as Nevada, Texas, Florida or other states with low income taxes.” said Jeff Fishman, founder JSF Financial, a financial planning and investment management firm in Los Angeles.
Manhattan’s luxury apartment sales fell 4.5% in the third quarter, and sales volume fell by more than 11% from the year-ago quarter, according to a report from Douglas Elliman, one of the country’s top real estate firms. The starter market, which had been more resilient, could be losing momentum as well, according to real estate firm Halstead.
Meanwhile, in Southern California home sales fell 7.5% in October from a year earlier, according to a report released by CoreLogic. It was the third straight month of declines.
Fishman said some reasons for the drop in high-end properties is a lack of foreign money; onerous tax implications from the new tax law; and the money made on Wall Street and from hedge funds is not as high it was just a few years ago. Rising mortgage rates and years of rising prices add the problem.
Fishman said he thinks businesses will relocate out of the high tax states and consider moving to states like Florida to avoid the increased tax bills.
“This will lead to a loss of jobs and create a more challenging real estate market,” he said. “Then you have decreased tax revenue which spirals into a reduction of services.”
This year, the standard deduction for individuals will increase to $12,000 from $6,500. And the deduction for married couples filing jointly will increase to $24,000 from $12,700. Since most taxpayers will claim the standard deduction, fewer people will have a reason to itemize deductions.
Another area that took a big hit was the unreimbursed business expense, which will be a big deal for athletes and actors. Basically, if you get a W-2 tax statement from your employer, you won’t be able to deduct business expenses your company didn’t reimburse you for.
“They won’t be able to deduct agency costs, agent commissions, or what you pay your business manager,” said Fishman. Other expenses not deductible include business travel, plus tax preparation services.
“If you’re W-2 person without outside income, it doesn’t matter,” said Fishman. “But if you have outside income, you need to set up a pass-through entity and have the income flow through that, but there are going to be a lot of people that can’t do that.”
Another area expected to take a hit are charitable deductions. Currently about 30% of taxpayers show charitable donations when they itemize their deductions. However, that is expected to drop down to just 10%, because of the increase of the standard deduction.
Fishman said that another funky provision deals with alimony. Currently, alimony is deductible, but child support is not. He said if your divorce is finalized after Jan. 1, 2019, alimony will no longer be tax deductible.
“Anyone talking about getting a divorce needs to get it finalized by the end of year,” said Fishman.
“I don’t think people have processed this,” he said. “Especially, the state and local taxes being capped at $10,000. A lot of people don’t fully understand what’s going to happen in April.”
He does offer a few recommendations.
The first is for people who have unreimbursed business income, especially entertainers and athletes, if they have non W-2 wages they need to think about setting up a corporate entity now and try to flow the non-W-2 income through it and deduct expenses through there.
He adds taxpayers need to be mindful of charitable donations.
“If you’re not giving more than your charitable deduction, you need to either cut back or bunch up your charitable contributions,” he said.
Finally, with only $750,000 of your mortgage deductible, he recommends paying down your mortgage.
Meanwhile, a lot of these provisions will expire in 2025 and if the Democrats take over the White House in 2020, all bets are off.